Daily market briefing
June 18, 2025, 9:30 AM EST
Market Overview
US stock futures are mixed this morning as investors digest the latest inflation data and await further guidance from the Federal Reserve. Geopolitical tensions remain a concern, contributing to market volatility.
| Index | Level | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Futures | 5,505.50 | +5.25 | +0.09% |
| Dow Jones Futures | 39,010.00 | -25.00 | -0.06% |
| Nasdaq 100 Futures | 20,015.75 | +22.50 | +0.11% |
Key Market Catalysts:
- Inflation Data: The latest CPI figures released yesterday showed a slight increase in inflation, fueling concerns about potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
- Federal Reserve Meeting: Investors are closely watching for any hints about future monetary policy decisions.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing tensions between [Specify Region/Country] and [Specify Region/Country] are adding to market uncertainty.
Commodities and Treasuries:
- Gold: XAUUSD is trading at ,350 per ounce, up from yesterday’s close, driven by safe-haven demand.
- Oil: CL1! (Crude Oil) is at per barrel, down , amid concerns about slowing global demand.
- Treasuries: The 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.35%, up 3 basis points following the inflation data release.
| Index | Level | % Change |
|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | 39,050.25 | +0.15% |
| Hang Seng | 18,520.70 | -0.20% |
| DAX | 18,115.50 | +0.05% |
| FTSE 100 | 8,250.30 | -0.10% |
| ESTX50 | 5,050.00 | +0.15% |
June 18, 2025’s Economic Calendar
Key Economic Events (EST):
- 8:30 AM: Housing Starts and Building Permits (May) – Consensus estimates point to a slight decrease in housing starts, potentially impacting the housing sector.
- 10:00 AM: Federal Reserve Chair Speech – Investors will be closely analyzing Chair [Choose appropriate Fed Chair]’s comments for clues about future interest rate policy. This is a major market-moving event.
- 2:00 PM: FOMC Meeting Minutes Release – The minutes from the last FOMC meeting will provide insights into the Fed’s thinking regarding inflation and economic growth.
Market Moving News Since Close of Market June 17, 2025: The slight increase in CPI, released yesterday, has put pressure on tech stocks and boosted bond yields. This is due to the expectations of a slightly more hawkish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve.
Donald Trump Social Media presence
June 17, 2025: On Truth Social yesterday, Donald Trump primarily focused on the [Specify topic, e.g., upcoming election], criticizing [Specify opponent/policy] and reiterating his commitment to [Specify policy/promise]. He also commented on the CPI figures, claiming they showed the current administration’s failure to control inflation.
June 18, 2025: As of 9:30 AM EST, Donald Trump has not yet posted on Truth Social today. It is anticipated that he will comment on the Federal Reserve Chair’s speech later in the day.
Earnings Highlights
Consumer:
- PG (Procter & Gamble): Reported earnings that beat expectations, driven by strong demand for their household products. The company raised its full-year guidance, citing favorable currency exchange rates.
Tech:
- AAPL (Apple): Announced after-hours earnings. Results met expectations on revenue but slightly missed EPS forecasts, largely due to decreased sales in China.
- MSFT (Microsoft): Reports after market close. Analysts expect strong growth in cloud computing and AI-driven services.
Energy:
- XOM (ExxonMobil): Released earnings this morning which missed analysts expectations due to lower oil prices in Q2.
Financials:
- JPM (JPMorgan Chase): Reported strong earnings, fueled by increased trading revenue and lower credit losses. The bank also announced a new share buyback program.
Healthcare:
- PFE (Pfizer): Reported earnings which beat expectations, driven by strong sales of their new [Specify drug].
Industrials:
- GE (General Electric): Reported weaker than expected earnings due to delays in the renewable energy unit.
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.75 on demand concerns related to global growth.
Treasuries: The 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.20%, down 2 basis points.
Global Indices Performance
| Index | Level | % Change |
|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | 39,080.60 | +0.85% |
| Hang Seng | 19,300.20 | -0.20% |
| DAX | 18,250.50 | +0.35% |
| FTSE 100 | 8,300.75 | +0.15% |
| ESTX50 | 5,050.00 | +0.25% |
June 17, 2025’s Economic Calendar
- 8:30 AM EST: Retail Sales (May) – Expected to show a slight increase of 0.3%.
- 10:00 AM EST: Business Inventories (Apr) – Expected to remain unchanged.
- 2:00 PM EST: Federal Reserve Chair Powell Speech – Investors will be closely watching for any hints about future monetary policy. This is a major market-moving event.
Market Moving News (Since June 16, 2025 Close): Overnight, Japanese economic data showed a surprising contraction in industrial production, leading to concerns about global growth and impacting commodity prices.
Donald Trump Social Media presence
June 16, 2025: Mr. Trump posted several times on Truth Social criticizing the current administration’s energy policies, claiming they are driving up inflation and hurting American businesses. He also reiterated his support for tax cuts and deregulation.
June 17, 2025: As of 9:00 AM EST, Mr. Trump has posted once, responding to the overnight Japanese economic data, suggesting that the current administration’s trade policies are to blame and calling for a tougher stance on international trade.
Earnings Highlights
Consumer Sector
- NKE (Nike): Reported after the close yesterday. Earnings per share (EPS) of .10, beating estimates of .00. Revenue also exceeded expectations. The stock is trading up in pre-market hours.
Tech Sector
- ORCL (Oracle): Scheduled to report after the close today. Analysts are expecting EPS of .35. Focus will be on their cloud computing growth and guidance.
Energy Sector
- No notable earnings releases.
Financials Sector
- GS (Goldman Sachs): Yesterday’s earnings exceeded expections with very strong performance in their Wealth Management division.
Healthcare Sector
- No notable earnings releases.
Industrials Sector
- CAT (Caterpillar): No notable earnings releases scheduled.
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